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Its true that they have gotten better at their "simmer tactics", as you put it, but they have also let a lot of unrelenting blowhards into their ranks that have been so far impossible for them to stifle and are really cramping their style.
I've often felt that while history seems doomed to its cyclical nature, we have lived straddling two ages in human history. I am of course not at all sure how the Information Age will effect history unfolding this time and into the future, but I think it simply has to have some effect that has never before been seen prior, which is scary, but also fascinating and exciting.
One glimmer of hope I see already is the xenophobic, nationalist nature of these strongman autocrat types that cover the pages of history books does not play well at all anywhere but at home. Every time I see one of these infamous goons try to reach across the national boundary to help a fellow authoritarian gain or consolidate power, presumably in an effort to build up a new "Axis", it is a kiss of death. In the past, it was much easier for these things to happen away from the public eye, and for the grotesqueness of the foreign autocrat to be largely unknown at home, but now the smoky back room is being live streamed around the globe, and the foreign autocrat has a billion views on social media.
Maybe the revolution be televised after all!
Sidenote, I really know what you mean about "straddling two ages", what a bizarre and like...ineffably rare experience it's been. A bit older than we, and computers (modern communication) are just a strange accessory to life - it's mostly been lived IRL. Anything else must be imagined, and it isn't easy, usually isn't done very well. A bit younger than we, and there has never been a strictly IRL part of life. The slow way, that every other human before lived and died under. And so anything else must be imagined, and it isn't done very well.
Utterly strange to one day notice this and recognize myself as among the small group of folks who really thoroughly experienced both. What a strange ride. Lucky, in its way, sincerely.
Sidenote aside, I don't share your optimism regarding the rejection / degree of appeal for fascism and its companions, abroad. At all. Think I'll leave it there, out of simple courtesy, and from having grown bored of my own words on the subject. Cheers friend.