this post was submitted on 02 Apr 2026
13 points (100.0% liked)

askchapo

23253 readers
166 users here now

Ask Hexbear is the place to ask and answer ~~thought-provoking~~ questions.

Rules:

  1. Posts must ask a question.

  2. If the question asked is serious, answer seriously.

  3. Questions where you want to learn more about socialism are allowed, but questions in bad faith are not.

  4. Try !feedback@hexbear.net if you're having questions about regarding moderation, site policy, the site itself, development, volunteering or the mod team.

founded 5 years ago
MODERATORS
PorkrollPosadist@hexbear.net
replaceable@hexbear.net
VILenin@hexbear.net
SexUnderSocialism@hexbear.net
Wakmrow@hexbear.net
abc@hexbear.net
13
Best-case scenario for the Ramadan War / "US"-"Israel" Genocidal War of Aggression on Iran? (hexbear.net)
submitted 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) by duderium@hexbear.net to c/askchapo@hexbear.net
8 comments fedilink hide all child comments
 

I randomly saw a tweet saying that the USA would run out of oil by April 15. Obviously I have no idea if this is accurate. (The USA currently imports 10% of its oil from West Asia.) But...what if it is accurate? Or what if the USA runs out of oil in a few months instead? Will we see bread riots, a possible revolution, or capitulation to Iran?

I randomly imagined an officers' coup where the military and some bourgeoisie cut their losses and agree to Iran's proposals, withdrawing the US military from West Asia, paying reparations for the war and decades of sanctions, and purchasing oil from the region in yuan. In this scenario, the USA continues to exist but is severely weakened, and the ruling class has to figure out how to sell things to China in order to get yuan to purchase oil. It's basically Neo-Weimar / American Weimar / Weimar USA. "Israel" vanishes and 90%+ of its settler population somehow makes its way back to western countries.

I know this is a wildly optimistic scenario. I'm just spitballing. How do you imagine things shaking out over the next few months?

you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[–] stink@lemmygrad.ml 2 points 5 days ago

I think it will just get more expensive, the hogs in amerikkka will be fine, they'll just pay $5/gallon. The global south will face the brunt of it, but with how many exemptions (Malaysia and the Philippines can pass freely) as well as other countries being able to pay tolls, we'll see how it plays out.