this post was submitted on 26 Mar 2026
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I don't see it, at least not a full scale invasion. It's not like a lot of other questionable moves the US has made lately in that there's no real path to victory. Say they manage to occupy some random island in the strait, then what? The rest of it is still blockaded, gas prices stay high, and they haven't accomplished anything.
We might see special forces blow up some stuff just so Trump can say that there were actually boots on the ground, but I don't think it'll go further than that. Honestly, I don't see how this ends other than a US withdrawal or nukes.