The numbers:
- Poilievre, CPC 13.7%
- Lewis, NDP 42.6%
- Carney, Liberal 39.5%
- May, Green 2.3%
- Another Cand. 1.9%
Source: https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/post/can-avi-lewis-begin-an-ndp-comeback-in-beaches-east-york
this post was submitted on 18 Mar 2026
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For someone whos proporting to not shit talk third parties I suggest you proofread your comments. I can think of several instances where a party completely shit the bed and then went on to form a government. Kim Campbell springs to mind. All we need is a smart and capable leader of the NDP and for Carney to have some financial scandal or put troops in Iran. Canadian politics is far more interesting than your binary win/lose "realism".
Kim Campbell took over leadership for the sitting government after the prime minister stepped down. She had government for like what, a hundred-some odd days? Then got completely owned in the election that followed. I think it was the worst defeat for a sitting government if I remember correctly, something like that.
The NDP has also never formed government at the federal level. So I'm really confused with where you are going with this...
I maybe need to proofread. But I also think you need to open a history book.