this post was submitted on 16 Mar 2026
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I wonder when people will realise how fucked they are despite being seemingly not involved in the war. A day before the war started a liter of gas cost 1.47 euro here. Now it is at 1.84. Nearly 40 cents more. Energy prices are skyrocketing as well and it will take people some time to notice. But they will notice. And then what? Blame immigrants again I guess.
Agreed - I cant bring my family to prepare and buy in bulk.
It feels a lot like the early days of the pandemic in that way, with a kind of denial that can happen. "Maybe it will pass > it's affecting some people but just how bad is it, really? > maybe it will stay isolated to some regions > maybe we should try to prepa- oh fuck it's here."
Not quite the same kind of situation. Because it's going to impact some regions more than others, depending on how dependent they were on this distribution of oil. But the snowball effect nature of it seems similar.
Trust me, I know how it feels. Seems like people (the ones with money and stability at least) here in Ontario are living in a dream world. Just walking around, planning their vacations. I think they’ve been so desensitized to violence in the MENA that it’s just background noise to them. They don’t grasp the severity of the situation. They’re in for a very rude awakening I think. I myself fully expect to be out of a job in a couple months since my job is literally making food using oil, and we’ve all seen the stories coming out of India about the restaurant sector imploding….
Turns out that not caring about geopolitics doesn’t make you magically immune to the consequences of it. Being a tankie is like being Cassandra.
Canada is self sufficient with LNG. They will probably lock down prices to avoid a recession. So you probably wont be out of a job.
Yeah Canada, the us, Russia and Norway are currently the only safe places.
Well that's at least one less thing to worry about lol. And I'm probably going back to school for welding in a few months anyways, I wonder if I'll have even more job security because of all this. Working for the fossil fuel industry would be hard to live down though.
I non-challantly dropped in a conversation the other day the prediction that before long we are going to see 3-4€ per liter. I don't think they believed me. Right now everyone in Germany seems blissfully unaware of the storm that is coming. They think this is going to be over soon and things will just go back to "normal". So i didn't press the point. I don't need to. Time will tell.
Gas going up by 40¢ where I'm at is like, a weekly fluctuation. Here we are seeing prices almost doubled. But everyone here is so obsessed with just pretending like everything is fine and it'll all blow over somehow that no one will talk about it.
Although the coming crisis does pose the risk you mention –that capital instigates even more hate to deflect the increasing revolutionary pressure away from itself and unto scapegoats–, it also represents a historic opportunity –to develop international class consciousness, to organize and mobilize– that we should try to seize.
I think this is a critically important point. The contradictions of capitalism are becoming clearer and more and more folks will awaken to them as the situation deteriorates. It’s important that we do our best to prepare the ground now. If things go the way they seem to be going this will be a fantastic opportunity to disrupt and oppose the forces of global capitalism.
We should make the global economy heavily relied on oil; from agriculture, to transportation, to energy production. What could go wrong?
And by the way, the increases we are currently seeing have to do with speculation more than with supply. It's because of the expectation of shortages more than actual physical shortages. There is still a buffer/backlog that is not yet exhausted. Supply shocks take some time to really start to take effect. Once they do it will be much worse than what we are currently seeing.