this post was submitted on 04 Mar 2026
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She was "supposed to" because that would have made it easier for the Republicans to hold this seat.
This result, along with the Republicans having to have a run off that costs the GOP another hundred million dollars to campaign against themselves, is pretty much the GOP worst case scenario for Texas.
There is a real chance that they lose a senate seat. In fucking TEXAS.
It can't be understated that Democratic primary turnout exceeded Republican turnout. We had 2.25M Democratic ballots cast in the US Senate race, vs 2.08M Republican ballots. Compare that to 2018 when Beto came within 3% of beating Cruz in the general. In the 2018 primary Cruz alone received more primary votes than all the Democratic primary candidates combined.
It also can't be understated that this is still Texas. It is still a huge uphill battle for the Democrats.
Yeah, the Republicans will no doubt be fired up in the general to turn out. We just have to make sure we do the same, now that we've proven we can outnumber them when motivated to do so.
Yeah I definitely think they underestimated the turnout they'd get when they concocted that plan to try to bait Crockett into running. How much of it was Trump's blunders vs Crockett's candidacy or Talarico's it's impossible to say. But these primary numbers are looking bleak for the general if trends hold.