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this post was submitted on 26 Feb 2026
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Best worst case is a Reform + other right minority coalition government. Full of infighting and unable to do anything whatsoever.
That's where Australia's right is at right now. In Opposition, not Government, but "full of infighting and unable to do anything whatsoever". Our right has been made up of two separate parties in a permanent coalition for most of Australia's history, but over the past 12 months they've split up and gotten back together twice over infighting. And one of the two parties of the Coalition is ripping itself apart at the seems over the conflict between wanting to present a more moderate front and wanting to embrace the far-right. They recently turfed their leader, a woman (the first time they've had one leading!) from the more moderate faction, and put in a far-righter.
Then there's One Nation, our UKIP/Reform equivalent (replete with toxic, famously racist, controlling leader), which is surging in the polls recently.
The ex-leader of the Liberal Party (the main right-wing party) did the most amazing thing by resigning from Parliament after her party spilled her, forcing the Coalition to fight a by-election where the two Coalition parties will be competing against each other, and against One Nation, and against at least one prominent local independent. It's going to be splendid to watch. I'm desperately hoping Labor doesn't even run a candidate, so we can all just watch the right fight itself.