askchapo

You're really teeing me up by opening with US can carpet bomb anything it wants so let me try to keep it short let me know what about this doesn't jive I might not be back for a few days the internet here is stinky ass. If that is all you are concerned about, you must relax. My rising panic comes from an awareness of the shortcomings of Western conventional kinetic options. This is the point where cautious, outraged pessimism crosses over into a defeatist ceding to all premises claimed by the enemy, even those they do not internally believe. Reread Mao perhaps. During the last event, almost the entire fleet of Western Air Forces was involved in non-kinetic operations against Iran. The Israeli Air Force that was involved in kinetic strikes on Iran is substantially larger than the additional force brought to bear in the built-up being trumpeted as a certain lead-up to war. Breaching Iran's air defenses, even in their somewhat dilapidated state, was far more difficult than Western news outlets would have you believe, and utilized tools that have been taken out of the game completely (Starlink plus cellular hooked up smuggled ATMGs, drone trap houses, saboteurs in a now exposed network). I would be happy to break down the entire aerial attack step by step, but I get the feeling that would actually start running into the character limit. I would need to speak continuously for 35 minutes. They cannot just fly over and plop down JDAMs everywhere, Iran is not Gaza. In order to believe conventional weapons can completely eliminate Iran's air defense systems and enable carpet bombing of the entire country, one would need to believe that already happened during the last attack, but that isn't the case. What you saw planes like the F-35s and the RA01 stealth drone, hidden to all except very large sitting-duck radars, essentially, prior to shipments from Belarus, China, Russia, but it was still confined to the sea near a refueling station. Being used to ferry cruise missiles to soft targets within Iran, utilizing neighboring regions and terrain masking. It was complex and very limited due to the long range of the operation. Effectiveness rapidly degraded as the operation was prolonged. So, what has really changed on the US side? Obviously they have aircraft carriers in the region to close the distance. They can launch a bunch of tomahawk missiles at them. But they still cannot carpet bomb a country like Iran, or accomplish anything close to that with standoff munitions, and aircraft carriers are a gigantic target. On top of that, we still haven't seen Hezbollah's missile deterrence eliminated by any of the Israeli operations. Some might disagree with that, but I just haven't seen any evidence of it. We saw perfidy with pagers turned into bombs, and an assassination with more firepower than ever used in history directed at an arranged negotiation table.