this post was submitted on 12 Feb 2026
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[–] jaykrown@lemmy.world 12 points 13 hours ago (2 children)

We're in the late stages of the AI bubble.

[–] MalReynolds@slrpnk.net 2 points 4 hours ago (1 children)

The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.

[–] THB@lemmy.world 12 points 9 hours ago (2 children)
[–] jaykrown@lemmy.world 0 points 3 hours ago (2 children)

To be clear, that doesn't mean AI is going away. It just means no one is actually going to pay for AI models anymore because open-weight free models will be extremely cheap and powerful.

[–] bold_atlas@lemmy.world 3 points 1 hour ago* (last edited 1 hour ago)

How is anyone going to run those powerful models locally once the necessary hardware is unaffordable/unobtainable?

No one is paying for AI because no one wants it to begin with.

[–] iglou@programming.dev 7 points 2 hours ago* (last edited 2 hours ago)

It also means that AI in places where it brings nothing and in many cases makes the product actually worse will disappear

[–] MadBits@europe.pub 0 points 5 hours ago (1 children)

I really hope so but I can't help but to think that they are going to drag it for as long as possible, because no matter how bad the situation is for the common folk, they are still going to make a profit off of it.

[–] ulterno@programming.dev -1 points 4 hours ago (1 children)

Yeah. The current job market shows a different trend.

With people saying "people using AI will replace people not using AI".
And the reason for that is not because people using AI will produce better work, but because AI usage will be preferred over usable output.

And because the flow of money is such that all those having money can easily choose to give most of it to AI users^[with the only exception being base material products like agricultural produce, which has a much lower margin and their costs again go to AI users] while non-AI users don't have the same ability once most providers turn to AI use.

Now as long as you get the Governments on board (they are already buying up GPUs too) you can get all taxes into AI use, hence starving the non-AI market of ability to procure computing hardware (or anything else to work on) and that is how you get AI supremacy without providing anything better.

[–] jaykrown@lemmy.world 3 points 3 hours ago (1 children)

All of that is speculation, none of it true. I'm an AI user, where's my money?

[–] ulterno@programming.dev 0 points 3 hours ago

I’m an AI user, where’s my money?

While I was actually looking for someone to break my model with a better one with better info, this is a pretty useless argument.

To get money, you need to:

  1. make some half-baked product with chutzpah
  2. Use charisma to get others to vibe with it on a social media platform
    • this is easy if you know how to do the social acting that "normies" do
  3. Appeal to the ones in power, while convincing them that you used AI to make it, will be using more AI and will do some subscription stuff
  4. Find a way to inherit Venture Capital.