this post was submitted on 03 Jan 2026
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It won't be like Iraq
The US has no desire or appetite for such a conflict again, and they probably don't need to do such a thing again
They'll execute Maduro or imprison him for life, then help install some pro west sycophant that will let them suck the country dry
I truly believe the military will coup if they install someone like machado
Why would they do that? I doubt the military are bought in to Chavismo and Machado seems more than capable of sucking up to whoever she needs to.
PSUV is deeply interwined with their military and vice versa. Chavez and Maduro actually purged and rebuilt their militaries unlike some Latin America leaders. Given the old military removed Chavez early in his presidency (didn't take) and he also was a former officer.
Why didn't they shoot back then?
they did, some manpads got shots off before they got lit up by the apaches
that they didn't down any of them isn't all that surprising, their actual AAA was outclassed and got flattened leaving only manpads firing in the dark at low flying, fast, stealthy helicopters that have countermeasures specifically designed to render IR guided manpads ineffective
Was any of it caught on video?
there was a video somewhere in the newsthread of a small amount of return fire, shared by Awoo i think
the yankees admitted to one helicopter being damaged at least
bear in mind the entire raid was over within an hour in the middle of the night, not all that much time to get good video
There's like a host of reasons they might not have ranging from electronic warfare to bribing a small number of guys (which is easier than a whole ass coup).
As i understand it the military in Venezuela is explicitly structured to be friendly to the current government