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They are also at war at the moment. It’s a big country and it’s doable given long enough peace. Also I don’t know where you are getting your numbers and why you trust them. I’ve seen estimates up to a million and none that I would trust.

Im pulling them out of my ass, its mostly based on the mass desertion + bussification the Ukraine military is having to resort too, i've read accounts of drafted infantryman that on paper they are deployed to the frontline with units that should have 9, 10 men and finding only 1-2 men who have been on the line without rotation for months. A recent medal ceremony (that Russia bombed and killed everyone) gave a medal to a soldier who had been on the front line without rotation for 2 entire years.

I believe mostly just off vibes and following lots of accounts on both sides that the Ukraine manpower shortage is at critical levels, which is why the peace plans are being pushed so hard right now, there is literally no more substance left and these are the last lines before the entire front collapses and experiences exceptional losses.