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From an ethical perspective this is obviously reprehensible. As a Chicago resident I could rant for hours about how destructive these are to peace and prosperity.
Looking at this from a pure strategy standpoint. I don’t understand the strategy of infuriating a swing state here.
These ICE raids are incredibly unpopular to put it mildly for every city that has them. Like no one loves feeling like you’re getting abducted by people in unmarked cars without due process. It’s one thing to put these in blue states where it’s “out of sight out of mind” for callous MAGA fucks. It’s another to do it in the home turf where this dominates news cycles.
Even when they’re evil they’re stupid about it.
The conservatives in my area are cheering this on, and with all the gerrymandering the GOP has been doing here, they’re banking on angry dems not being able to do anything but “drown in their liberal tears”.
Which might backfire if we are lucky. One of the ways gerrymandering works is by diluting the votes, spreading them into many other areas where they don’t make a large enough fraction to matter. The more gerrymandering happens this way, the slimmer the margins are for holding the seats. If these actions galvanizes the gerrymandered voters to turn out in unexpectedly large numbers, or turns enough fence sitters against them, the gerrymandering will lead to many seats flipping instead of only the few it would have been without the gerrymandering. I don’t find it likely to happen, but I’m not ruling it out either.