this post was submitted on 14 Nov 2025
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Fascist regimes never last 50 years.
Before someone says "Franco", no. Even Orwell had doubts about Franco being a real fascist, and historians since then trend the same way.
Why does fascist regimes never last 50 years? Because a powerful alliance of countries relentlessly vanquish them, historically. No such powerful alliance is present today. You should not make historical rules of whay is not rules at all. You have learnt the wrong lesson from history.
That's not the only reason it can't last. From Umberto Eco's Ur-Fascisim:
And also:
Since it can never be at peace, it constantly needs to create an enemy. The worst thing that can happen is defeating that enemy. It still has to have an enemy to focus on, or else people start to notice that the leaders have no idea how to solve actual problems.
So it needs to create a new enemy, but to do that, they have to carve one out of the existing population. This means the "acceptable" people shrink each cycle. It doesn't take long before the "enemies" make up too much of the population to be sustainable.
Another reason is the mechanics of cult of personalities. They rarely survive their leader. Mormon's and Scientology are often cited as examples, but they're the exception. There's thousands of little cults nobody has ever heard of that dissolve when the leader dies.
Hitler had maybe three to five decades of natural life left when he took the Chancellorship. That's the longest it could possibly have lasted. Trump doesn't have that. He has maybe one decade left, and that's pushing it.