europe

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Four years of war have given it more confidence and confirmed its identity, giving rise to the idea of Ukraine as a new middle power—Westward-leaning but non-aligned. (www.economist.com)

submitted 4 months ago by yogthos@lemmygrad.ml to c/europe@hexbear.net

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[–] P1d40n3@hexbear.net 4 points 4 months ago (1 children)

And there lies my concern. What guarantees can the west offer? There is no diplomatic trust on either side. Once the AFU collapses, does Russia just take what they've claimed? Without some serious diplomacy, i fear this conflict simply 'goes cold' like the Korean war.

[–] yogthos@lemmygrad.ml 4 points 4 months ago

The west can't offer any guarantees, and that's why this war is going to have a military solution. I expect Russia will absorb most of Ukraine aside from western parts of it that are genuinely anti Russian. What's left is going to be demilitarized. NATO is very clearly not going to directly fight Russia, if they were going to do it that would've happened by now. So, Russia is in a position to dictate their terms.