this post was submitted on 19 Sep 2025
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Nobody in North America is going to be a winner from this. It's going to be chaos. A lot of productive capacity that could otherwise have been used to make useful things or provide useful services is instead going to have to be spent on preventing the chaos in the US from spilling over the border.
I also don't think Canada or Mexico would want to annex territory. Annexing requires a strong military to hold the territory, and neither Canada nor Mexico has a strong military. What's more likely IMO is that there's some kind of a civil war and the US is split into multiple smaller sovereign states. After the dust settles, some will be on great relations with Canada and Mexico. Others will be isolated states that are closely tied to Russia or Saudi Arabia or something.
The US is famous for its advanced weapons but those depend on massive supply chains all over the country.
They can't even supply Ukraine with artillery shells.
All the factories the US had to spin up in their last conventional war are gone and are the people who knew how to run them and work them.
A civil conflict would be pretty short unless an external power started supplying one side with arms.
And nobody would do that, of course...