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Signal boss warns app will exit Australia if forced to hand over users’ encrypted messages
(www.theaustralian.com.au)
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I can totally see Australian politics being OK with signal leaving, since that would push users on to other less secure/more compliant apps
You might be right, but its going to get harder for them to crow about the wins ASIO is making when competent people are spinning up more bespoke solutions they have even less hope of compromising. Plus when people go down the current path that the UK populace is what are ASIO going to claim next, VPNs have to be banned. You know Australia lacks the technical competence to implement that correctly, suddenly every business is having their workflow broken to appease a bunch of "intelligence" wonks. The further they over reach the more likely they will trip themselves up.
I think that the number of folks who will run bespoke solutions will be so small that it'll be insignificant. Signals benefit is its ease of onboarding. If Signal leaves ASIO knows there's nothing else out there for 99% of it's users.
For the vast majority of people, you are right. But for the very few malignant actors, that is the thing they'll do. It will make ASIO's job harder as they're now trying to trace foreign VPN's, custom-made encryption programs and other stuff that I personally don't know about (I'm not overly knowledgeable about such computer things).
The >99% of Signal users forced into the sunlight aren't the threat. It's the <1% of Signal users who 'go underground' that are the threat.
Personally, I'll spin up a Mastodon (or similar) instance for my kid and his mates.
"Sir, we have identified a potential terrorist cell. Or a paedophile ring. Which week is it again?"