this post was submitted on 06 Jul 2025
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As someone who knows nothing about the NWS, would they have gotten it right or at least closer if they didn't have funding cuts? Also to be clear, I don't support cutting their funding, just wondering if this was unavoidable.
That's a very difficult question to answer. I don't work there but I studied meteorology and I'm a volunteer for a forecast office. They take in so many data sources that serve as input into forecast models and humans. The qualify of the data has dropped, but which data exactly could have made a difference would be difficult or impossible to pinpoint. It's possible better quality data would have helped, but we don't know for sure.
Not sure if you can answer this. But do you have any idea how these forecasts normally work? Like how do they normally predict flooding
There are models that predict precipitation amounts and river/lake stage (level), yes, but usually it's up to the lead meteorologist to make the call after reviewing those models combined with their experience with the situation. Precip rate is also an output of some forecast models that is considered when issuing an advisory. These models consume huge amounts of data that influence the output prediction in complex, chaotic ways. Better quality data can often produce better forecasts and lead to better decisions but whether or not the specific event would have had a better outcome is harder to answer.