this post was submitted on 04 Mar 2025
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My hope is that we'll see an adjustment of congress attitude after April 1st special elections. They should all be easy GoP wins, but I don't think they will be. I'd put the NY election at even odds. The two Florida districts are 20 points red, so shouldn't even be a question of who wins, but I think they'll be close. If the GoP loses one, some of them will start to sound like they have a back bone. If they lose two, they'll start talking back in the media. If all three flip, they lose the house and shit gets real.
Again most likely result is a squeaking win that will make for some grumbling, but no real change in our path to hell. What's crazy is that there is an assumption congress will be a thing by April 1st. The market is in free fall right now, and it's being very conservative on the amount of damage Trump just did. As that plays out, the bad news is going to keep pouring in from all quarters. Things are going to get chaotic, in very dystopian ways.