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That doesn't sound right at all. How could the amount of COBOL code in use quadruple at a time when everyone is trying to phase it out?
Because it’s not actually getting phased out in reality
But it isn't getting quadrupled either, at least because there aren't enough COBOL programmers in the world to write that much new code that quickly.
It doesn’t say unique lines of code.
So: copypasta.
Because why they're trying, they need to keep adding business logic to it constantly. Spaghetti code on top of spaghetti code.
It could mean anything, the same code used in production in new ways, slightly modified code, newly discovered cobol where the original language was a mystery, new requirements for old systems, seriously it could be too many things for that to be a useful metric with no context
Maybe some production systems were replicated at some point and they're adding those as unique lines?
trying
That's the keyword right there. Everyone wants to phase mainframe shenanigans out until they get told about the investments necessary to do it, then they are happy to just survive with it.
I'm currently at a company that's actually trying it and it's being a pain
The 2022 survey accounted for code that the 2017 survey missed?
I think it's more likely that one survey or the other (or both) are simply nonsense.