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Democrats See 103 Percent Increase in Pennsylvania Voters Leaving the Party
(www.newsweek.com)
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this post was submitted on 17 Oct 2024
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You're only looking at people who flip from D to R. The article is talking about all people who left D, including to "other".
"In 2023, 19,321 Pennsylvania voters changed their registration from Democrat to "other," and 36,341 switched from Democrat to Republican. Overall, 55,662 registered Democrats in the state left the party."
"This year, the state-released data shows that 51,937 registered Democrats changed their affiliation to "other," and 61,126 switched to Republican, for a total of 113,063 leaving the party."
113,063 / 55,662 = 2.0312
which is a 103% increase.
And people claiming this is insignificant compared to the total 6 million+ voters in PA should keep in mind that margins in PA are very close. Biden only won PA by 80,555 votes in 2020, so changes in the 100k range are absolutely significant.
Read the last paragraph of my message.
I see. why do you consider it useless and dishonest?
Because they're comparing the number of people who changed their registration in 2023 to the number in 2024, and implying a conclusion from the fact that the number went up that is anything other than "2024 is an election year so it actually matters what people are registered as, so of course the number will go up."
fair enough. The article also compared it to the opposite movement, as in the people who left the Republican Party between 2023 and 2024:
"This year, 48,702 Republicans switched parties, with 24,046 changing to "other" and 24,656 becoming Democrats, around a 67 percent increase in Republicans leaving the party."
So I guess that makes the headline a little less concerning, but the difference still seems like something to worry about.