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this post was submitted on 09 Sep 2024
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TechTakes
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Big brain tech dude got yet another clueless take over at HackerNews etc? Here's the place to vent. Orange site, VC foolishness, all welcome.
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I got mad at this last time I saw Nate Bronze assign percentages to the 2024 US election.
Like, my dude, what the fuck does that mean? Is the election result a random variable? What is its PDF? What maths could you have possibly done to arrive at a crisp [0, 1] probability value?
How did you go from "predict the future", an obviously wildly fuzzy and inaccurate vibes check, to a concrete real number??
obvies they're just 30% better at predicting the future than you
I'll cut you with a Y axis I swear on me mum
azimu(s)th