The implication that Soares / MIRI were doing serious research before is frankly journalist malpractice. Matteo Wong can go pound sand.
BigMuffN69
Chat wtf is this curve?
Gary asks the doomers, are you “feeling the agi” now kids?
To which Daniel K, our favorite guru lets us know that he has officially ~~moved his goal posts~~ updated his timeline so now the robogod doesnt wipe us out until the year of our lorde 2029.
It takes a big brain superforecaster to have to admit your four month old rapture prophecy was already off by at least 2 years omegalul
Also, love: updating towards my teammate (lmaou) who cowrote the manifesto but is now saying he never believed it. “The forecasts that don’t come true were just pranks bro, check my manifold score bro, im def capable of future sight, trust”
it’s weird that Piper keeps getting paid to make content, but I’ve never once seen anyone claim to enjoy any of her work…
Reenforcement learning
Me and the gals having a totally normal evening at SBFs compound
(Bonus)
Only taste tester I trust dropped his verdict
The part about them sitting around crying made me big sad :(
The one big cope I'm seeing is in the METR graph ofc. Tiny bump with massive error bars above Grok 4 so they can claim the exponential is continuing while the models stagnate in all material ways.
Gotta be trolling.