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submitted 6 months ago by niph@hexbear.net to c/askchapo@hexbear.net

Genuinely curious. I keep thinking “it can’t get much worse without some kind of mass uprising” but the ability of the general population of Western states to just soak up suffering seems endless. Do you think we will actually see mass movements in the next decade or two? Or just slowly lurch into a void of ever-shittier liberalism?

By the West I mean like. Western Europe and the Anglosphere I guess.

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[-] bloodfart@lemmy.ml 8 points 6 months ago

No of course not. The bourgeois state will continue to externalize the costs of buying off a majority of the working classes in the imperial core. Conditions will deteriorate in core adjacent nations though and those will experience revolution in our lifetime.

[-] Vampire@hexbear.net 8 points 6 months ago
[-] thelastaxolotl@hexbear.net 7 points 6 months ago

Nope, no imperial core nation has ever fallen or came close to a socialist revolution only semiperifery (russia, spain) or perifery countries (china, cuba, ) have had those

[-] QueerCommie@hexbear.net 8 points 6 months ago

It may be the last to fall, but that doesn’t mean it won’t as its foundations collapse.

[-] Parsani@hexbear.net 5 points 6 months ago

May 68 in Paris was likely the closest

[-] AOCapitulator@hexbear.net 7 points 6 months ago

Not me, but then again Lenin didn't think it would happen for them either

[-] frauddogg@lemmygrad.ml 6 points 6 months ago

The settlers would sooner go fascist and genocide themselves before they'd ever accept a proper revolution. I don't think I'd want to see or live through what the Anglo-dominated west would consider 'revolution'; not with a lot more comrades I don't have, or a lot more ammo.

[-] blobjim@hexbear.net 6 points 6 months ago

yes its starting tomorrow at 5pm but you're a LIBERAL SO you didn't get invited 🤣🤣😂

[-] BurgerPunk@hexbear.net 6 points 6 months ago

Its difficult to say. A better world is possible, and its worth believing in and fighting for. I worry though that that obviously true and beautiful fact - that a better world is possible - is so beyond the comprehension of the average American. That idea has been driven out of public consciousness by the largest and most pervasive propganda apparatus ever. I believe communism will win, but I'm not optimistic about the near term revolutionary potential of the US. So much here seems waited to go toward barbarism. But the decline of the US will be a major boon for revolution around the world

[-] RustCat@hexbear.net 6 points 6 months ago

Probably not, things have to get so unbelievably bad for the value of a revolution to outweigh the value of doing nothing and letting capitalism continue (the lure that things might get better, right?). Things also have to be really bad in the place where you are too, because so long as the facade of normalcy exists (even if it is degraded), then people will naturally come to the conclusion that such things cannot happen to them, and that they shouldn't worry.

For example, if the USA managed to provide fuel, electricity, internet, and treats (even if somewhat intermittently) right up until it collapsed, no significant portion of the population would want a revolution until after that all got taken away, and didn't have the promise of being returned.

[-] barrbaric@hexbear.net 5 points 6 months ago

On a long enough timescale it would happen, but climate change cuts it short. Imo the west continues its steady march toward open fascism (the wars they start will only exacerbate climate change) and then industrial society collapses.

[-] hexthismess@hexbear.net 5 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

I wont hold my breath that it'll happen in my lifetime. I also won't discount the speed at which the West accelerates it own rot.

Edit: I'll keep hope though. I'll remain optimistic about it.

[-] Dudewitbow@lemmy.zip 5 points 6 months ago

the most youd get in your lifetime is country slowly becoming more pro union, and not outright uprising though. how far each individual union pushes will depend how strong each individual union is. youd need the cpuntries to get into utterdesparation mode for outright revolution, which is not very likely.

[-] QueerCommie@hexbear.net 7 points 6 months ago

If the US is insane enough to actually force China to stop making our stuff etc, it can get real bad really quick material condition wise here.

[-] Dudewitbow@lemmy.zip 2 points 6 months ago

i dont even think itd get that far, all it would happen is it would incentivise investment into other countries for goods. if you were gonna bet on SOME revolution, itd be in ~2060, and it will be over the potential water crisis if humanity as a wholendoes not solve water.

[-] QueerCommie@hexbear.net 5 points 6 months ago

That's a strangely specific. At the moment we are seeing decades happening in weeks. The empire has already deteriorated greatly, and if they get the war with China they're hoping for they're screwed. China is the factory of the world and is probably not stupid enough to keep giving stuff to an active enemy. 2008 was quite the shock for the US economy. Another crisis is inevitable at some point relatively soon, and you can't bail out the banks forever. This is all not to mention the great prospect of more epidemics/anti-biotic resistence and the growing effects of climate change. At this point it is really socialism or extinction and capitalism's dying no matter what.

[-] kristina@hexbear.net 5 points 6 months ago

my luck is when im 90 something cool will happen

[-] CliffordBigRedDog@hexbear.net 5 points 6 months ago

shit has to get bad before it gets good

[-] ReadFanon@hexbear.net 4 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

I feel like I'm living on borrowed time and that I'm only barely keeping the wolf from the door, so to speak, so I doubt I'll see the revolution in my time, especially in my shithole country but I'd say that if we assume that most people here have another 60-odd years on this earth that collectively we are pretty likely to see a revolution kick off somewhere in the west.

When it does happen, be sure to send my regards.

[-] newmou@hexbear.net 4 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

Thinking about it, in the event of collapse, there is an astounding number of guns in the US, and most of those are owned by essentially brownshirts. BUT, they’re still working class. Will be a matter of how soon can bonds of solidarity form between common people, and will that happen faster than right wing movements can coalesce around killing out groups

[-] infuziSporg@hexbear.net 3 points 6 months ago

I think that if I live to my 80s, I will definitely have seen critically-destabilizing resource shortages in the West.

[-] Vampire@hexbear.net 2 points 6 months ago

Interesting insight. What's your date-of-birth btw??

fedposting

[-] infuziSporg@hexbear.net 4 points 6 months ago

Somewhere between the Challenger disaster and 9/11.

[-] Maoo@hexbear.net 3 points 6 months ago

You could look to similar countries for inspiration. Donbas is an example, it broke away as part of a civil war but enjoyed popular support. It broke down along ethnic lines as the country used Russophobia to fuel its nationalit project, but of course had underlying political economic foundations.

Are there any Western countries that could be Ukrainified? Forced down a path of poverty by the others, turned into a peripheral country until the stresses crack and the place breaks along various fault lines? The US is already breaking down what sovereignty Europe has and eating its lunch. Which country will fail the hardest? It will surely be eaten by the vultures, foreign capital brought in to use them as cheap labor for something that's high-cost in the US. You know how Google fired its entire US Python team to pay Germans less instead? Europe has a large white collar-focused workforce that will cost less and less over time so long as financialized costs don't weigh them down faster. Tech has been desperate to pay its workers less, that's what all the STEM education and new attempts at imperialist trade deals pushes are about.

My money is on one of the countries that's already mistreated, like Greece. Or one that's just less rich but still beholden to the imperialist pact. Like Spain.

I've focused entirely on Europe because it's undergoing dangerous changes. There's more to the West than them. But I think the other countries you could throw in there aside from the US might be sites of "pink" revolutions and I don't missy how that will go down because it will depend on the strength of imperialist forces at the time.

[-] Elon_Musk@hexbear.net 3 points 6 months ago
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this post was submitted on 30 Apr 2024
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