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Things are not looking good in Brazil.
do brazilian elections have the same bias as US elections, where votes for "right" candidates are generally counted and reported before votes for "left" candidates?
According to some rumors that I have read in a Telegram channel, it seems so.
This is the latest count
with this trend, is it likely that brazil will go to runoff elections?
If Flavio's count doesn't go beyond 50%, then it seems highly likely that a runoff election will happen.
am i right in thinking that flavio is likely to win the runoff? it seems as though the majority of the third-party votes are for far-right candidates
It is difficult for me to make an educated guess because I don't have as much insight as a Brazilian comrade.
Hopefully, someone with better insight might come along and give you their perspective.
my mistake. i thought i remembered you saying somewhere that you were brazilian, but i must have been thinking of someone else.
I am actually from Mexico. 😄
brazillian here, the scenario is panic inducing yes but its not lost yet, there were 5m blank votes and 32m abstentions, more than enough to make up the difference between lula and flavio plus other right wing candidates, with a course correction it can turn around, just as flavio got a head start, we also elected at least two congresspersons that openly claim themselves marxist-leninist and speaks the need of a communist revolution for the first time since the end of the mil dictatorship, those are Jones Manoel e Elias Jabour, besides them there was also a increase in quality of the elected left gradually replacing the post modern left that contributed in the depoliticization of the people and lastly the hoxaist party Unidade Popular doubled their presidential vote from last election even with a very bad campaign. the challenges are many, there is infiltration of neopentecostal churchs, big techs, usa gov, israel and a siege from the other latin american countries, it is only lost when the bell rings on 25th october, until that, gotta hang on, right now we are kinda licking our wounds and dizzy.
in that case, can i ask about the zapatistas? specifically, have they been an effective anti-imperialist force or are they going to end up like rojava?
From my personal point of view, they are similar to rojava without the US support(context -> https://lemmygrad.ml/post/6488415). They do make statements supporting Cuba but they sometimes invite USAID funded liberals that have voiced views against Nicaragua and Venezuela. Regardless of their views, they serve as a force that stops internal plunder within Chiapas.
but surely the US support would have been the central defining factor? meaning, even if they are a bit libbed up, they aren't an extension of the empire in the way rojava is? that seems like what you're getting at with the last sentence; am i right?
No, they are not an extension of the US. Actually, they are in direct opposition to US backed companies(agrobusinesses) in the region that want to plunder the natural resources there.
In Mexico, the ones that are actively supported by the US and serve as the "Freikorp" of capitalists are the narcos/drug traffickers. As evidence, you can see this quote from a lawyer of a union:
The intervention of organized crime groups in the country's mining sector "has become a cancer promoted by foreign capital, especially by Canadian and American companies," said Óscar Alzaga Sánchez, lawyer for the National Mining Union, which is chaired by legislator Napoleón Gómez Urrutia.
This is what I was trying to tell you by saying they stop internal plunder. This means that they are opposing those groups(promoted by national and US capitalists) to destroy the region.
i think this makes sense. thank you.
Glad that I am able to help!
They also have cringe takes on Ukraine.
😕
I have mixed feelings about romance. Sometimes I'll sort of forget about it like it doesn't even matter. Sometimes I'll really yearn for it hard like it's a huge deal. But I don't know how much of the 2nd one is cultural influence of putting romance on this huge pedestal as like the best thing since gluten-free sliced bread. Like a good partnership would probably help me a lot, but it's also not going to solve my problems on its own and a bad one could make them worse. I think the more important thing, probably, is to unfuck my brain with regards to attachment more generally. I tend to have that thing going on, I forget the exact term, where you seek attention and then want to run when you actually get it. Fearful... anxious... something or other. I could just look it up. Anyway, I have come a long way in emotional stability and self esteem I think, but it could still be a lot better and unfucking attachment is probably a significant part of that so that attachment is a source of security and stability instead of a combination of desiring it and fearing it. My gut tells me I'd actually have a pretty easy time having long-term relationships, platonic or otherwise, if I didn't have the fear/avoid thing in the mix, along with general insecurity about my capability to maintain relationships over time and distance due to my distractability and sudden dropoffs of interest; but then, judging relationship maintaining with distance as a factor is pretty unfair, as most human beings throughout history did not have the internet and such, they could just know the people who were right there and not have to think about it beyond that. My gut also tells me I need to eat healthier and that holding onto anxiety is bad for its digestion. It's not even speaking in english. I don't know what language the gut uses. Communicates through "this feels good" and "that feels bad" I guess.
I have mixed feelings about romance. Sometimes I’ll sort of forget about it like it doesn’t even matter. Sometimes I’ll really yearn for it hard like it’s a huge deal.
I believe this is the orientation called "Aro-spike."
It's genuinely crazy that Chiang Kai-shek/Jiang Jeshi was about 5 minutes from getting deposed only to be saved by the Japanese invading Manchuria.
Context:https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mukden_Incident
Not saying Wang Jingwei would've been...good or better [its wang Jingwei]. But it certainly would have been interesting.
Plus its massively ironic and funny Chiang was saved because he had to "fight" the Japanese.
I got metal shrapnel in my eye today and it had to be drilled out by a doctor. Sounds horrific but at my job it was a badge of honor so in a dumb ass way I was looking forward to it too. I swear these people are just build different.
Still no luck in joining a political org. I feel like it would be a bit of a waste to join a Trot or Ortho leaning org that operates as a niche. On the other hand it might be the most serious option. Maybe I should just start with the union.
I also shoot my shot with someone way out of my league and it somehow worked and now I have to think about when I will drop that I also have dozens of Star Wars extended universe books.
I am sorry to hear about the shrapnel!
It would be worth joining a political org anyway, maybe you connect with someone who can introduce you to someone else...
I can't wait to get into more of those Star Wars books, man. I really enjoyed the prequel novelizations so far.
holy shit, wear some eye protection lol. good luck on the date.
The stupid thing was that I was wearing eye protection but it somehow got into a tiny gap between the glass and my head
No such thing as "out of your league" people are just people. Some people have confidence and some have starwars books. Maybe your new friend likes both?
some, they say, even have both...
Shot shooters get to carry a dozen or so corpses. Don't sweat it.
Seeing people torture brains of flies on youtube is gonna turn me into a vegan pretty quick.