this post was submitted on 19 Apr 2026
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[–] ivanafterall@lemmy.world 30 points 1 week ago

What a coinkydink.

[–] TwinTitans@lemmy.world 17 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Well why not. No one’s going to stop them so… 🤦🏻

I wish there was though...

Iran is probably making money trading on it too

[–] Bluedragon012@lemmy.world 3 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Document who did this. Make thier names known. Prep the evidence. Get ready for a fight.

No will stop them right now. But Im certain none of us will forget nor forgive.

[–] quick_snail@feddit.nl 2 points 1 week ago

Does polymarket require KYC?

[–] MalReynolds@slrpnk.net 3 points 1 week ago

Who's the damn house in this equation ? That's some Trumpian casino mismanagement.

Oh, right, $950 million was from the stock market, so peoples retirement funds I guess...

[–] Iconoclast@feddit.uk 3 points 1 week ago (2 children)

And how many bets were timed imperfectly?

[–] InFerNo@lemmy.ml 1 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Is this a broken clock situation or concerning outliers?

[–] Iconoclast@feddit.uk 2 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Reporting that a handful of people made a correct guess isn't as suspicious if there are tens of thousands who were way off.

[–] SlurpingPus@lemmy.world 2 points 1 week ago (1 children)

That's not how it works. The handful are taking the money from the tens of thousands, that's exactly what's odd.

A mitigating circumstance would be if the same handful lost as much in other bets.

[–] Iconoclast@feddit.uk 2 points 1 week ago (1 children)

That's kind of how betting works - few guess right and they win the money that everyone else lost.

[–] SlurpingPus@lemmy.world 2 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

I'm guessing the article is about suspiciously large bets placed shortly before important events, mostly Trump's announcements, in the absence of similarly large losses from the same people — as happened multiple times in the past year.

People don't typically bet millions at once on an underdog.

[–] Iconoclast@feddit.uk 2 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Well, no, but that's why I'm noting that additional context would be in place. If the account was created yesterday and they bet millions on something they couldn't possibly have known, then yeah, that's suspicious. However, yesterday there was a similar article about 150 people who made a similarly good bet, but once you did the math these people bet $5,700 per person on average. That isn't particularly suspicious.

Edit: I just realized it was this same article

[–] BarneyPiccolo@lemmy.today 1 points 1 week ago

Last I heard, it was well over a dozen, all perfectly timed with insider information.

[–] quick_snail@feddit.nl 1 points 1 week ago

Who wants to bet that Iran is able to get Intel from polymarket based on Trump's bets?