Ive heard more convincing arguments for an economy based on monkey pictures.
this post was submitted on 27 Mar 2026
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« We wrote a scenario that represents our best guess about what that might look like. »
OK
It was just not good enough for "We wrote a sci-fi story".
More helium to pump the balloon
I didn't read the article, I just looked it up. To find the fortune-teller graph that I can see on Leamy. That one that predicts that "misalignment" will be detected in 2027... And then AI will go straight up, or horizontal for a moment and then straight up. I don't have enough time to check if the rest of the article is on the same BS level.
It also suggests that by 2029 we could have "an incredibly luxurious universal basic income." Which seems... idk pretty absurd here in 2026.
People online are predicting everything will happen in 2027.
- Aliens are revealed
- China invades Taiwan
- The singularity happens/super intelligence happens (basically, this post)
- The Antichrist appears and or Jesus returns
- Trump dies and JD Vance takes over
- Fusion power is figured out
A conspiracy minded person could tie all of these together. Especially with a the Iran war starting and looking like it’s going to drag on.
If you look them all up you’ll find fringe people or mainstream people talking about each. So 2027 is either going to have a lot of goalpost moving, or maybe a few of the things will pop off.
It’s not meant to be a specific prediction, it’s just a plausible (for when it was written) scenario. Don’t worry about the actual years, it could be off by an order of magnitude, just decide for yourself if any of the assumptions are completely wrong.
What’s interesting, to me, is that’s exactly how people hedge in the fringe UFO community too. The difference is this AI prediction has real data woven into it. And the UFO people have “stories” and right wing grifters in our current administration pushing the idea.
I’m not trying to be dismissive, I just noticed that the year 2027 is popular for predictions, and has been for 4-5 years.
Oh, and I forgot to list fusion power being cracked. I’ll got add it. There are a bunch of startups right now. Sam Altman just stepped down from the board of one of them to address conflict of interest issues. Allegedly.
What’s interesting, to me, is that’s exactly how people hedge in the fringe UFO community too.
Ha! True. Very true. I find this scenario compelling but it’s based on a series of assumptions which individually seem plausible but I have no way to evaluate them all together. It’s like the Drake Equation; because the probabilities are multiplicative even tiny adjustments to a few of them end up making a huge difference to the final answer.
The thing is though, if there really is even a tiny chance of the ultimate outcome of this thought experiment being true (i.e. the end of humanity) then we should probably address it. And what that would look like is stopping the AI companies from doing any more research until they can prove their model will be safe, which should make people who are more concerned about AI slop happy too. Everybody wins by hitting the brakes. (Edit: well, Sam Altman doesn’t but I’m not going to lose sleep over that.)
Every post with "AI" in the title turns into a "here's what I think about AI" thread thanks to the high concentration of anti-AI NPCs on this platform.
If only there was a community for serious, dispassionate conversation about technology...
the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous
By destroying lives with slop I guess.
Research agents spend half an hour scouring the Internet to answer your question.
So slow? What a waste of time.
It seems to be an ad anyway. Is it trained on stolen OSS and torrents?
He probably still has stock options he needs to vest. Can't let the bubble pop yet, there's still money to be squeezed out of it.