this post was submitted on 13 Mar 2026
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Rugby Union

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That's right ladies and gentleman, the time is nearly upon us. The time of reckoning, of glory, of triumph, and defeat. Tomorrow we crown our 2026 Men's 6 Nations winner. And with the table being tight this year we have 3 contenders, each with a different route.

First we have France, topping table with 16 points, topping the table on points difference. Head to head results don't matter, PD is the first tie breaker, then tries scored. Their mission is clear: beat England. If Scotland pick up a winning bonus point victory earlier, they also must. The PD isn't likely to affect things. So win, preferably a BP win

Second we have Scotland, also on 16 points, but a PD of -58 to France. A win will put them top of the table first match, they then need England to win. A tall order, and many Scots will feel robbed after winning 4 matches, and beating France if that happens. A bonus point win will force France to seek out a BP win themselves. But, Ireland are on a 12 match winning streak. It's in Dublin. And Ireland are also technically still in this

Ireland then need a win, to put them on 18/19 point finish. Meaning they then need England to beat France also. If they don't get the BP then France can win with a double BP loss even. If Ireland do get a BP, then France must win

And then there is the other trophy to be awarded. ๐Ÿฅ„๐Ÿฅ„๐Ÿฅ„

If Wales win with a BP they are then on 6 pts matching England currently. However their points difference is actually 100 today, so Wales need to win by 50 and England lose by 50. I could see France storming it, and England bottling it. But Italy aren't rolling over for 50. Meaning Wales are all but assured the spoon already

There also exists Italies highest ever finish possibly. If they BP win, they finish on 14, same as Ireland today, and so if Scotland smash Ireland, and Italy smash Wales. Points difference means 3rd is a possibility, but it does take fairly big wins both ways.

So there we have it! Scotland in with a real chance this weekend for the first time ever. Ireland still in it. Both needing then England to do the business. France in the driving seat. A growing Welsh team taking on an ascendant Italy. All to play for, I can't wait.

As always, predictions, reactions, and shitposts all appreciated

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[โ€“] GargleBlaster@feddit.org 2 points 3 weeks ago

What a great game. The whole M6N were insanely good and thrilling

[โ€“] Olap@lemmy.world 1 points 4 weeks ago

Pubs getting busy already. This is gonna be messy!

[โ€“] Olap@lemmy.world 1 points 3 weeks ago

Great to see Wales get a win!