Place your bets!
In case anyone is curious, I used the Lambert cylindrical equal-area projection.
this post was submitted on 09 May 2025
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C4, if the Pacific is always said to be huge then I feel it's a good place to pick
What if it lands in Greenland?
It can't. Kosmos 482's orbital inclination keeps it between 52 degrees north and south latitude, so it won't land near the polar regions.
The US will occupy Greenland to protect it from further russian spacecraft attacks.
V1, probably killing all the plants I'm trying to grow.
G1.
The first strike on DC from beyond the grave.
I'll take G2 and hope the US president's residential hellhole is wiped off the map.
Q1!
Ah, the "Achievement get! Return to Sender" scenario.
huh, I didn't notice there were two Q1s on the map.
...
I have no idea how that happened. Thanks for pointing it out.
Edit: Fixed.
Original for Posterity
The Kosmos 482 probe, a relic from the first Space Race, crashed harmlessly into the Indian Ocean west of Jakarta, Indonesia at 2:24 a.m. EDT (6:24 a.m. GMT), the Russian space agency Roscosmos announced on Telegram.
So my guess would be it hit R4 or S4, maybe?
(For clarity, my initial guess was V1 purely to spite me)
So my guess would be it hit R4 or S4, maybe?
The Orbital Police Officer has spoken: https://bsky.app/profile/planet4589.bsky.social
My own plot of the final orbit, showing the Roskosmos estimate of the path between reentry and impact in purple. I guess that Kosmos-482 SA reentered somewhere along this track between India and the ocean south of Australia.
It doesn't look southwest enough to have hit R4. Looks like mostly S4, maybe extending a bit into S3 or R3.
@spicyspaceelephant@lemm.ee, I think you were closest!
D1, breaking in half to cleanly knock out out Kuiper and Starlink production near Seattle
Hope it lands on my head.
M1
You betcha. Mark me down for the return to sender though, please!
R4
v6 (totally not because i want it to happen)
H2
You always end up in Bermuda...
O2
Has to be P3
Hmmm W2.
K3