I keep waiting for something like this happen but the RB is a pretty solid car, doesn't feel like that is going to happen. Feels like it's more likely that he makes contact with someone and that's what causes him not to win.

The cars are more reliable than ever (Max finished every racing lap last year), the FIA are prone to red flagging every hint of serious rain and we don't have any crazy reckless drivers on the grid prone to crashing out competitors. Max also faces zero competition from his teammate, and Red Bull has no interest in having a second driver that can seriously challenge him.

I'm not saying it will happen, but the odds are more in favour of it in the current era than in any previous era of dominance.