this post was submitted on 31 Oct 2026
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I have yet to see much evidence that indicates that I won’t be needed indefinitely.
Gonna need some citations on this, chief. I don’t necessarily disagree, but proper architecture and high level analysis and design, especially of large existing systems, is something that LLMs have always been quite bad at, and I don’t think that’s going to change anytime soon. But I know the state of the art is hard to follow, so if you have any new developments to share I’d love to look at them.
I have never thought I was “safe” in this industry, going back 30 years. But I think there’s 1) a lot of questionable fear mongering going around, and 2) a very clear possibility of a talent shortage if we keep going on this trajectory.
I've seen models going from pissing shitty 10-liners that didn't compile to reworking entire projects halfway convincingly in only a few short years. I see no reason why they won't get good enough to do that well enough to render your senior software architect ass obsolete in a few more.
"Today’s AI is the worst you’ll ever use" is correct. You might get some respite for a few more years when the AI bubble bursts and we go back to doing shit ourselves for a while. But the technology isn't going away. And bad luck for us, it's almost perfectly suited to replace software engineers, of all jobs.
If you haven't seen this, you've been living under a massive rock. It's clear as day.
Well, I will say this: all I'm saying is that OUR jobs as WE know them are gone. They either don't exist anymore, or they're on the verge of disappearing. What I'm emphatically NOT saying is that it's wrong: it's progress I guess. We're just the latest round of professionals whose profession has been rendered obsolete by technology.
I do worry that so many professions are in the crosshairs that it'll basically break society though, because the changes are so radical and so quick.
It's not a possibility, it's a certainty. And it won't matter: again, I'm 100% convinced the machines will do a better job than you or me very soon.
Ok. I’m not convinced of most of what you say, certainly not to the level of certainty that you have. I’d still love to see actual evidence of what you’re saying. Extrapolating 3 years of progress, especially when that progress is rapid, out to infinity is a classic mistake. Do you really think that, for example, the progress that models have made in 2026 is anywhere near the level that they made from, say, Jan 2024 to Nov 2024?
I do agree that things have changed and that maybe it is progress.