this post was submitted on 20 Jul 2026
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[โ€“] alsimoneau@lemmy.ca 2 points 19 hours ago (1 children)

We're at what, close to 20k right now?

Won't take 50 years.

And not every orbit is equally useful. Near misses are getting more frequent, and it only takes 1 to start a chain reaction.

[โ€“] Cocodapuf@lemmy.world 1 points 1 hour ago

But a chain reaction in low earth orbit is generally short lived, atmospheric drag clears that up. A chain reaction in high earth orbit is exponentially less likely to happen. It's the medium orbits to worry about, luckily they're less popular for now, but as LEO fills up, they'll likely start to be used more.