People Twitter

10146 readers

745 users here now

People tweeting stuff. We allow tweets from anyone.

RULES:

Mark NSFW content.
No doxxing people.
Must be a pic of the tweet or similar. No direct links to the tweet.
No bullying or international politcs
Be excellent to each other.
Provide an archived link to the tweet (or similar) being shown if it's a major figure or a politician. Archive.is the best way.

founded 3 years ago

MODERATORS

SendMeYourTaTas@sh.itjust.works

pelespirit@sh.itjust.works

323

Statisticians, is this true? (infosec.pub)

submitted 1 day ago by cm0002@infosec.pub to c/whitepeopletwitter@sh.itjust.works

65 comments fedilink hide all child comments

you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments

[–] kuerbiskernoel@feddit.org 1 points 1 day ago

Assigning probabilities is arguably pure math

Not even that is pure math. It depends on your prior knowledge, for example if you think one event is more likely. On the other hand if you don't include prior knowledge/assumptions like one event being more likely you're implying that the prior knowledge behaves in a way that makes your combination of probabilities and data the way it is (for example a flat prior, aka every event has the same likelihood, but in some cases it gets even weirder and would effectively force an absurd prior, so you typically just avoid that by defining some prior knowledge beforehand).