this post was submitted on 04 May 2026
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Yes, still very much losing.
My uninformed analysis of the whole debacle at this stage is that America pretended to be conducting a humanitarian movement to free stuck ships in the strait. Really they escorted out two US flagged ships in a risky heist, Came under fire, And lost a big part of the only oil field in the UAE that avoided Hormuz.
US tested Irans resolve and defense methods and freed a couple ships. Iran showed them what they use to deter military intervention. Missiles/fast boats/ shore munitions etc.
Looks like Iran showed they still have power to deter naval movements and significant escalation capabilities, as this was walked back in record time. Even for Trump. They're just throwing shit at a wall to see what sticks at this point.