Abstract
From 1875 to 1878, concurrent multiyear droughts in Asia, Brazil, and Africa, referred to as the Great Drought, caused widespread crop failures, catalyzing the so-called Global Famine, which had fatalities exceeding 50 million people and long-lasting societal consequences. Observations, paleoclimate reconstructions, and climate model simulations are used 1) to demonstrate the severity and characterize the evolution of drought across different regions, and 2) to investigate the underlying mechanisms driving its multiyear persistence. Severe or record-setting droughts occurred on continents in both hemispheres and in multiple seasons, with the “Monsoon Asia” region being the hardest hit, experiencing the single most intense and the second most expansive drought in the last 800 years. The extreme severity, duration, and extent of this global event is associated with an extraordinary combination of preceding cool tropical Pacific conditions (1870–76), a record-breaking El Niño (1877–78), a record strong Indian Ocean dipole (1877), and record warm North Atlantic Ocean (1878) conditions. Composites of historical analogs and two sets of ensemble simulations—one forced with global sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and another forced with tropical Pacific SSTs—were used to distinguish the role of the extreme conditions in different ocean basins. While the drought in most regions was largely driven by the tropical Pacific SST conditions, an extreme positive phase of the Indian Ocean dipole and warm North Atlantic SSTs, both likely aided by the strong El Niño in 1877–78, intensified and prolonged droughts in Australia and Brazil, respectively, and extended the impact to northern and southeastern Africa. Climatic conditions that caused the Great Drought and Global Famine arose from natural variability, and their recurrence, with hydrological impacts intensified by global warming, could again potentially undermine global food security.
Good book about this is "Late Victorian Holocausts" . An interesting history of survival of the "criminal tribes" during this era in india has some useful lessons.
The "Late Victorian Holocausts" (c. 1870s–1890s) were a collision of El Niño-induced droughts and British laissez-faire capitalism that killed 30–60 million people. For the "criminal tribes" (a colonial label for itinerant groups like the Badhak, Sansi, Kanjar, and Bawaria), this period was a double apocalypse: they faced mass starvation from the famine while simultaneously being hunted, caged, and criminalized by the newly enacted Criminal Tribes Act (CTA) of 1871. [1] The following details outline their specific survival strategies and the colonial state's mechanisms of control.
1. The Double Burden: Famine & The Criminal Tribes Act
While the general peasantry starved due to grain exports and market fundamentalism, groups like the Badhak faced a targeted war on their existence. The CTA labeled them "hereditary criminals," creating a legal framework to forcibly settle them just as the famine made settlement a death sentence. [2]
2. Survival Strategies of the "Criminal" Networks## A. Dietary "Iron Cast" & Forbidden Foods
While caste Hindus starved rather than break dietary taboos, the "criminal" tribes survived because their traditional diets were broader and more resilient. [1]
B. Strategic Mobility & "Chaotic Oscillation"
The Badhak and similar groups used their mastery of disguise and movement to evade the "dragnet" of the famine police.
C. Weaponizing Kinship & Gender
The state tried to break their networks by separating families, but the tribes used their social structures to survive.
D. "Social Banditry" & The Economy of Desperation
With their traditional livelihoods (performing, herbal medicine, genealogies) destroyed by the economic collapse, many returned to or intensified "predatory" survival.
3. Fate of the Badhak Specifically
By the Late Victorian period, the "Badhak" as a cohesive entity had been largely shattered by the earlier anti-Thuggee campaigns (1830s–1850s).
1. The Double Burden: Famine & The Criminal Tribes Act
While the general peasantry starved due to grain exports and market fundamentalism, groups like the Badhak faced a targeted war on their existence. The CTA labeled them "hereditary criminals," creating a legal framework to forcibly settle them just as the famine made settlement a death sentence. [2, 4]
2. Survival Strategies of the "Criminal" Networks## A. Dietary "Iron Cast" & Forbidden Foods
While caste Hindus starved rather than break dietary taboos, the "criminal" tribes survived because their traditional diets were broader and more resilient. [8]
B. Strategic Mobility & "Chaotic Oscillation"
The Badhak and similar groups used their mastery of disguise and movement to evade the "dragnet" of the famine police.
C. Weaponizing Kinship & Gender
The state tried to break their networks by separating families, but the tribes used their social structures to survive.
D. "Social Banditry" & The Economy of Desperation
With their traditional livelihoods (performing, herbal medicine, genealogies) destroyed by the economic collapse, many returned to or intensified "predatory" survival.
yes the above is AI slop but it gets it started for people interested in the subject