this post was submitted on 22 Mar 2026
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Explanations I've seen:

  • to drive up oil / gas prices (the problem is that the prices are too high, which accelerates the global green energy revolution and the end of the fossil fuel industry while destabilizing western "society"; successfully seizing Iran's oil would have presumably lowered prices too);

  • Trump's ego, bolstered by Maduro's kidnapping and the seemingly successful counter-revolution in Venezuela; the imperial ruling class thought they were invincible because they haven't suffered a really palpable defeat since Vietnam (I guess Afghanistan / Yemen doesn't count...);

  • to protect the Zionist entity and the Gulf Monarchies and also to shore up American influence in the region;

  • to slow China's rise (Iran supplies lots of China's fossil fuels);

  • a distraction from the Epstein files;

  • lots of powerful ghouls have been itching to do this since 1979;

  • to stop Iran's nonexistent nuclear weapons program;

  • to game the stock market.

Did I miss anything? What are the most plausible / implausible explanations? Are they all valid? I'm not sure, I'm asking because I want comments / critiques. Also, are we headed to a permanent nationwide blackout in the USA (as predicted by The Simpsons) and the Mad Max-ification of all but the top 10% or will things "go back to normal"? Or will this just become another Ukraine War?

Bonus Q: how are the libs and chuds you know reacting to the war? My spouse thinks that Iran is currently winning but the USA will eventually prevail 🥴

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[–] sodium_nitride@hexbear.net 3 points 1 day ago

The AI bubble is a big part of the west's recent belligerence I believe.

  1. AI needs huge quantities or cheap inputs (energy, compute and manpower) to create the fully automated workerless dystopia the capitalists want. Where to get all this from except by colonising the most energy rich and unstable region on earth?

  2. AI is sucking up a truly enormous portion of western and petrocapital (GCC countries invested heavily into American tech). All this capital needs returns. So where to get returns from? Ordinary consumers don't pay nearly enough to make AI profitable. Only the government's war and surveillance branches are reliable enough customers. Corporate customers have their own profits to care about. But the government just wants inhuman unaccountable kill bots. And with such new toys, the government's barrier to violence is lowered. Just in time for managing the current revolutionary juncture.

  3. The less workers there are, the more valuable workers become. The less capital there is in the world, the more valuable capital becomes. And the capitalists know right now know that capital is overvalued compared to labor. Have you seen the nonsensical stock prices? And have you seen the low birthrates? The massive inflation/injection of capital in the recovery after covid was great. Free money for capitalists! But there is a fear of a market correction. If companies are overvalued, there is room to go down. But if you destroy or damage competitors and cement your monopoly capital status again? What better way to do this than seizing control of Industrial inputs for yourself and deny them to others.

  4. The Ukraine war and Al-Aqsa flood operations opened the floodgates for further escalations in war. White supremacy is no longer safe! Anyone paying attention can tell this. So the calculus on war has changed. Losses and chaos becomes more accepted. A conservative geopolitical strategy is no longer favoured.

Last point is not related to AI