Political Optimism

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bibbasa@piefed.social

Fox News Analyst Warns Republicans as 30 GOP House Members and 6 Senators Opt to not Run for Reelection (thehill.com)

submitted 1 day ago by bibbasa@piefed.social to c/politicaloptimism@piefed.social

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Fifty-one House members and 12 senators have opted not to run for reelection — on track for the most departures from Congress this century, according to an NBC News analysis. Most of the House members leaving are Republican, 30, and most of the departing senators, too, six.

Fox ominously reports that voters most motivated to vote in the upcoming elections prefer Democrats. In fact, their 52 percent support “is the highest recorded for either party. In 2017, the last time it was even close (50 percent), House Republicans lost their majority later in that cycle.

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[–] OwOarchist@pawb.social 3 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

it’s looking like texas’s gerrymander is already blowing up in their face as trump’s latino gains have been all but lost

Yep. It looks like the GOP forgot: the harder you gerrymander, the thinner your margins get in the 'winning' districts. Then, even a slight change in public attitudes or voter turnout compared to what you predicted, and you could suddenly be losing in basically every district.

And the brutality of ICE is definitely enough to swing public attitudes, especially among the Latino population. It's very possible that this gerrymandering could blow up in their face massively and make them lose nearly every district.