this post was submitted on 16 Dec 2025
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Showerthoughts
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A "Showerthought" is a simple term used to describe the thoughts that pop into your head while you're doing everyday things like taking a shower, driving, or just daydreaming. The most popular seem to be lighthearted clever little truths, hidden in daily life.
Here are some examples to inspire your own showerthoughts:
- Both “200” and “160” are 2 minutes in microwave math
- When you’re a kid, you don’t realize you’re also watching your mom and dad grow up.
- More dreams have been destroyed by alarm clocks than anything else
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- The entire showerthought must be in the title
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- If your topic is in a grey area, please phrase it to emphasize the fascinating aspects, not the dramatic aspects. You can do this by avoiding overly politicized terms such as "capitalism" and "communism". If you must make comparisons, you can say something is different without saying something is better/worse.
- A good place for politics is c/politicaldiscussion
- Posts must be original/unique
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If you made it this far, showerthoughts is accepting new mods. This community is generally tame so its not a lot of work, but having a few more mods would help reports get addressed a little sooner.
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Former econometrician here:
Yes. Correct.
Ever since stock buybacks became the bog standard default, and P/E ratios are between 'significantly elevated' and 'completely fucking delusional'...
Yep. None this shit makes any real sense.
Which is actually a huge problem.
Because... the economic 'point' of a stock market, in capitalism, is more or less to act as a kind of giant, collective brain, that figures out how to efficiently and rationally allocate capital and investments.
The 'invisible hand', and all that.
So when that brain spends a decade or two more or less in a euphoric psychotic break... ("irrational exuberance")... well... it doesn't exactly make sound financial choices.
Which translates into about two decades of nonsensical investment of a society's resources.
Free market fundamentalism kind of requires that you assume capital markets are rational and efficient, always.
... But ... they aren't.
Less 'theoretically': Its a giant gambling machine, and if you're not rigging the game yourself, 99.9999% chance you're the mark, you're gonna lose.
And you won't see it coming, not untill its too late for you to get out intact.
Economists have for a long time referred to state run lotteries as effectively an 'idiot tax', because anyone who can do fairly basic statistics also knows they're very likely to lose money, thus, only idiots gamble.
The stock market as it is now more or less represents a more complex version of the same kind of thing... you've got the day traders, and they almost always get their clocks cleaned, they just develop a neurotic-obsessive personality based on 'no, I'm the one guy that can outsmart the market'.
No, you can't.
I used to think that the market "drove engagement" - keeping people with money interested in the dealings of the companies they invested their money in.
Lately, I feel like it's just a giant Casino.
No, casinos state the odds on every game and tell you if you play long enough, you will lose everything. The stock market actually calls itself a free market, which is hilarious.
Well, of course, it's different than a Casino. It's bigger. It's a longer running game. But it still pushes those "get rich quick" addiction buttons. You're right, there are addiction awareness resources built up around traditional gambling channels, disclosure that "the house always wins." In a sense, the stock markets are a long enough, slow enough running game that many players do actually die before the longer running Ponzi schemes collapse - so maybe the lack of addiction support groups is a little big justified there.
There's also an unclear distinction drawn between "day traders" and "long term investors" which is so fuzzy as to be meaningless anywhere near the boundary, if there even is a boundary. How can you tell if your mutual fund is day trading?