this post was submitted on 16 Dec 2025
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Electric Vehicles
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This is how things will be in a few years in every country outside of the EU and the US. The EU and US car industries will be pretty much unable to sell their products outside their protected local markets. But of course they'll get endless bailouts.
The US certainly. The EU is a bit of a different story. BEV sales in the Netherlands, Sweden, Denmark and Finland are around 50% already. Looking at the total market it is also quite decent and sees strong growth. There are quite a few cheap BEVs entering the market soon, so the share in other markets is probably going to increase.
Also the ICE phase out 2035 might stay. France and Spain both want to keep it. With the votes from the smaller EU members above, they can block it, since it needs a qualified majority to pass in the council. If that happens EV share is obviously going to increase quickly.
But they're still heavily protectionist because competing with the Chinese would cause a lot of short term pain. But if we don't go through this pain now, our industries won't survive in the long term, at least not in their current form.