this post was submitted on 06 Dec 2025
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Are we on the Edge of Collapse? Impressive Data from a Recalibration of Limits of Growth (senecaeffect.substack.com)
submitted 1 month ago by smps@sopuli.xyz to c/collapse@lemmy.zip
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"The start of the collapse of the industrial production (here calculated in per capita terms) was supposed to be at some moment between 2010 and 2020. A little too early, because we passed that moment. But that calculation was made more than 50 years ago, and it is legitimate to think that it needs some readjustments. That was what Nebel et al did in a recent paper; they recalibrated the same model (word3) on the basis of the available real-world data. And here is their result. "

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[–] elvith@feddit.org 2 points 1 month ago

Modern population decline in the western world is because automation means people don't need 10 kids to do farm work so they can survive.

Also we have access to way better medical knowledge, procedures and treatments. If, say half of your kids die eary, you are more inclined to have more children than if it is almost guaranteed, that your children will all live and grow up.