this post was submitted on 21 Oct 2025
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I definitely think the White House will shit out a trillion or so dollars and give it to the pentagon to give to Nvidia or whomever, but I don't think that'll work either because it'll make stagflation even worse and also because where is all of this energy gonna come from? China is leaning into AI but they can afford to since they're generating more and more energy each year (largely cleanly to boot) and also because they're trying to use it in ways that actually make things more efficient. What's gonna happen when the US spends all that money and gets nothing in return? If it can barely create value in businesses I really don't think it can deliver results on the battlefield to pay for itself. So I guess they'll just be throwing money into a bottomless pit for something that is largely useless and that nobody wants to pay for or even can, and burdening their already creaky af energy grid to do so. I'm reminded of the joke about the two economists who pay each other to eat dog shit.