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NFL punters don't average anywhere close to 65 yards. Even if they did, coverage usually can't cover that much distance that quickly. Long punts usually equal long returns. So 10 yd will absolutely make a difference. You just described a situation in which it would be a stupid sack to take. You'd be sacrificing field position. Not to mention the injury risk and wear and tear build up on your quarterback. You're using a video game logic.
Average isn't the metric to use, punters don't try to kick it their farthest every punt, most punts are within a punters range.
10 yards of field position is worth a chance at a big play.
And why pray tell do they not try to kick it the furthest every punt?
10 yards of field position could be the difference between winning and losing.
Touchbacks
So could the 40 yards they gain by no throwing the ball away.
Touchbacks? That's the only reason?. They punt from their own 20 they're worried about it going out of the back of the end zone? Come on man. You don't have to play dumb like this.