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this post was submitted on 29 Mar 2025
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As someone who's actually been part of a team that did this exact migration, it's gonna be shitshow with tons of bugs when the mainframes are decommissioned and the new system goes live.
It's not the wrong move cause the tech is increasingly obsolete but the level of effort will be underestimated.
I think this type of project would take at least five years. A minimum of three to develop, 1 to do internal QA, and at least a fifth as a slow roll out from the smallest states while progressing to the larger. If bugs are revealed during that fifth year, slow the roll while getting them patched up.
It is the sort of thing that requires long term vision, effective governance, and patience. Things that Trump and friends do not possess.
Surprise surprise, that's a similar time frame the last attempt at this gave. Apparently the they never got too far off thr ground because they had to divert resources to help against covid