this post was submitted on 26 May 2024
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Collapse
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This is the place for discussing the potential collapse of modern civilization and the environment.
Collapse, in this context, refers to the significant loss of an established level or complexity towards a much simpler state. It can occur differently within many areas, orderly or chaotically, and be willing or unwilling. It does not necessarily imply human extinction or a singular, global event. Although, the longer the duration, the more it resembles a ‘decline’ instead of collapse.
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You can change the region area view to 'nino 3.4', which is a 5-month running trend of the nino area.
Explanation of the nino 3.4 tool is at this page:
https://climatedataguide.ucar.edu/climate-data/nino-sst-indices-nino-12-3-34-4-oni-and-tni
This is one driver of the big disasters like storms, droughts, floods, heat waves and other bad weather that is all being amplified by climate.
The newest month for which there is a full 5-month run would be October/24 which showed a cooling trend, but in the past 60 days it kicked back to a dramatic warming /el nino conditions. Supposedly they forecast a 60% chance of a switch back to neutral conditions in March-April-May.