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Tories 'could be reduced to less than 100 seats for first time in 345 years'
(www.mirror.co.uk)
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this post was submitted on 08 Jul 2023
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UK Politics
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General Discussion for politics in the UK.
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But there won't be a general election until 2025. And a week is a long time in politics.
Do you really think they're going to try and hold an election in January 2025 at the last possible moment for a general election?
Traditional wisdom is that for the incumbent party, spring/summer is a better time to hold the election because people are generally happier with their lot in the warmer months, and are thus more likely to vote for the status quo. In January, everyone is broke after Christmas, and miserable from the cold, wet and dark, thus more likely to vote for a change of government. All the more so if energy prices continue to be sky-high.
Personally, I'd be surprised if it's more than a year until the election.
Traditionally true, but I think they see the writing on the wall. They are now just breaking as much stuff as they can in the time that they have, so they can try to blame Labour for the fallout. They can break more things with a few extra months.