You just said they really don't have a chance without some weird conglomeration of the other countries. So yeah you did. Also Russia is the invader. You call it a proxy war and at this point it has turned into one. But it's 100% on Russia. Russia is weak. Everyone thought Russia was the big guy on the field and it turns out they're not. China may be although they haven't fought a war in a long time so who knows what they can actually do. But it's very evident now that Russia was not nearly as strong as everyone thought they were.