this post was submitted on 27 Oct 2025
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Image is of Venezuela's Maduro and Colombia's Petro walking together at the Miraflores Palace in Caracas in 2022, sourced from this article.


Ordinarily, I avoid straying into the American domestic situation, but the government shutdown appears to be continuing into increasingly harmful territory. If the situation is not resolved, soon tens of millions of Americans will lose food assistance, and already millions of federal employees are furloughed or are working without pay. To those not in the know, this situation has essentially stemmed from the Democrats refusing to sign off on the Republicans' plan to substantially shrink Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act, which would eventually result in tens of millions losing healthcare coverage and tens if not hundreds of thousands of preventable deaths.

To be clear, though, the Democrats have not exactly been paragons of healthcare: they not only oppose plans to make affordable healthcare a right (in defiance of wide popular opinion), but also do their part to maximize suffering. Biden's policies during the pandemic ensured at least one million people died, and millions of children lost public healthcare coverage. We may never know the true toll, as the US decided that simply ceasing to report on a problem means that the problem no longer exists.

In other news, over the last couple weeks, the US has expanded their hostility against Venezuela by also including Colombia in their ire, and particularly the left-leaning leader, Petro. Both countries are now experiencing major economic and covert pressure by the US to try and cause regime change. The US has deployed an aircraft carrier to the waters near Venezuela and is conducting a military training operation with Trinidad and Tobago, which Venezuela has warned may be the prelude to the long-awaited attack.

Additionally, the US is attempting to combat Chinese geopolitical interest in central America and the Caribbean by carrying out digital attacks and launching pressure campaigns against Chinese and pro-Chinese countries and organizations. Given China's enormous economic weight, if central America were to break all ties with China, it would be a catastrophe for them; such decisions would only be made by outright compradors, and the resulting economic problems would make their reigns unpopular and, hopefully, brief.


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Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
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https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
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[–] Tervell@hexbear.net 43 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

>european domestic manufacturing

>look inside

>actually heavily based on importing american parts

whoopsie! https://archive.ph/KgH3v

​U.S. Engines May Delay Gripen E Fighter Deliveries to Ukraine, as They Did for India's Tejas

The engine is one of the most important components of any fighter jet, so any delays or restrictions could affect the fulfillment of a potential Gripen E order for Ukraine

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All news about Ukraine's potential acquisition of JAS 39 Gripen E aircraft examines the situation from every angle, including delivery timelines, localization, and armament. An important factor in this story is the engine, made in the U.S. by a supplier whose reputation has recently been tarnished. This is the F414 engine from General Electric Aerospace, which was developed based on the F404 engine.

The latter is installed on many aircraft, including the Indian Tejas, which is a notable case because fighter jet production has fallen seriously behind schedule due to years of engine supply delays. This suggests that a similar situation could occur with a potential Gripen E contract for Ukraine. Given the size of the order, it will be necessary to increase production, and therefore the demand for components, which could cause additional delays. Currently, the F414 is used in the production of F/A-18E/F Super Hornet fighter jets, which is currently scheduled to end in 2027. This will reduce the strain, allowing more opportunities for other customers. The Americans did not complain about previous deliveries for the project from General Electric. However, domestic orders are always prioritized, and this led to delays for Kuwait. On the other hand, this engine is used in the South Korean KAI KF21 Boramae in its current 4+ generation variant, which is soon to go into serial production. A variant with its own domestic equivalent is expected to be developed, but this remains a plan for the future.

In India, the F414 engine is slated for the Tejas Mk2, which is still in development and yet to take flight, along with other next-generation fighters such as the fifth-generation AMCA. In addition, extensive localization is planned. It won't cover some critical technologies, but it should help relieve overall supply chains. As for local production, Sweden's Volvo is involved in the manufacture of these engines and is a long-standing partner of General Electric. This offers additional assistance in fulfilling the order, even though the dependence remains. It should be mentioned that the 2020 quarantine caused numerous delays, creating a backlog of untimely contracts across many companies. At the same time, this is being significantly addressed, so such large-scale force majeure events should not occur again. Another important aspect regarding engines is their origin, which is why Gripen is subject to ITAR. These international arms trade rules are designed to stop American technology from reaching unfriendly countries. At present, it appears that the U.S. will likely approve exports to Ukraine, though some restrictions will apply to future deliveries and usage. This could provide a strategic advantage in future political discussions.

Naturally, this applies to all U.S. weapons, F-16 included, and it is important to remember. Anyway, the Gripen relies heavily on imported components from multiple countries. Currently, the Swedes have no alternative to the F414, although rumors about potential alternatives continue to circulate. It is likely that the development of a new engine will begin for the sixth-generation fighter project. Therefore, the engine has been and remains one of the most important parts of an aircraft, which can seriously slow down any program, such as the Turkish KAAN. It is important to keep in mind the influence of this component on any potential contract with Ukraine. At the same time, neither Sweden nor Brazil has complained about the pace of F414 deliveries so far. This gives some hope that there will be no problems with the Ukrainian Gripen jets.

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 15 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

I don't think this is as big an issue as the article makes it out. Delays around the Indian Tejas were about securing transfer of technology, manufacturing licence agreements agreements and local manufacturing, said negotiations lasted more than a decade. They plan to manufacture the whole engine in India in a joint HAL-GE partnership. Transfer of technology was a big issue, India wanted over 80% while the US was only offering around 50%. Eventually India got their way after years of negotiations.

As for the Gripen C Volvo locally assembled a licensed version of the F404 with slightly more power, called the RM12. Volvo has been doing joint manufacturing with GE for decades on both the F404 and F414. Volvo aerospace was bought out by GKN Aerospace and do the same thing with the F414, it's called the RM16.

The KF-21s version of the engine is also set to be assembled locally by Hanwha Aerospace, with joint manufacturing.

While the article does mention all this, it's important to keep in mind. It's not as if there's one sole choke point on the supply chain. In each case there's at least local assembly and joint manufacturing of the engine, even if some of that joint manufacturing is in the USA potentially production/knockdown kits being shipped for local assembly.

The biggest issue is probably going to be making all these planned planes as a whole for Saab. They have over 120 on order currently, and Ukraine wants to order the same amount, if not more. That's equivalent to all the Gripens that have been made in the history of the airframe (since 1987 when manufacturing started, 38 years) and Saab want to make them in 15 years. Every part of the supply chain will have to make things over twice as fast as they have done on average.