this post was submitted on 26 Oct 2025
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The key word here is predator. Not everyone who commits a sex offence is a predator. You can be convicted of a sex crime for public urination.
A sexual predator is pretty much a serial offender by definition. So the claim that these people would have high recidivism rates should not be surprising.
Not much of one. Is there a reliable scientific definition for it & is there good quality scientific research supporting your claim that isn't outdated?
If your definition of predator is tautological (eg, those highly likely to reoffend), then why limit your argument to only sexual predators?
As pointed out by the comprehensive overview linked before, a problem with your claim is that there is no static & fixed propensity to reoffend even when narrowed by type of offense. The idea of a static & fixed propensity first began to unravel when researchers noticed risk to reoffend vary with offender age
Then they noticed rates vary by their developmental periods
Examining dynamic aspects of human lives led researchers to reconsider
Newer research finds these dynamic risk factors affect the rate of sexual recidivism, which can reach quite low, so it isn't simply a fixed, static rate.
Predicting who will be a sexual recidivist (if that concept is scientifically valid) isn't straightforward, so a tautological definition of predator doesn't get us far.
It wasn’t my argument. You originally replied to someone else. I think the statement is almost a tautology.